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Microsoft × SubscriptionsRun this yourself

How to reconcile Microsoft Ads against your billing system

This is the check we run first on every account, written out so you can run it without us. It takes about thirty minutes and needs two numbers: what Microsoft says it produced, and what your billing system actually shows. The gap between them is the only honest measure of whether your tracking works — and if it comes back small, you do not need us.

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Specific to Microsoft × Subscriptions

Microsoft Ads vs new subscriptions: check msclkid reaches billing

Join Microsoft's conversions to first payments on msclkid stored with the billing customer, then upload those first payments through offline conversion import. Compare against a closed month of new subscriptions only. Microsoft running slightly low is normal; a zero-match upload or a count matching your renewals points to a goal copied from Google without its tracking.

msclkid is the join key, and it needs the same handling as gclid: captured on landing, persisted, and written into the subscription or customer metadata at checkout. On accounts imported wholesale from Google, the site often captures gclid alone, so new subscriptions from Bing traffic reach billing with no identifier. Count how many first payments in the month carry an msclkid before reading anything into the gap.

Microsoft's offline import window and attribution settings resemble Google's, but check the current values directly rather than assuming parity, especially if your trial is long. Compare Microsoft's conversion report for the specific subscription goal, not the account total that may include signups or page-view goals carried over from the Google import. Watch whether the report dates conversions to the click or to the payment.

Microsoft volume is usually small, so a handful of subscriptions either way can look like a large relative gap. Judge it across a quarter if one month is too thin. The common disagreement here is a goal counting every payment because the Google template was reused unchanged, which makes renewals look like new customers. Check the goal's count setting and filter the upload to first invoices.

Microsoft × Subscriptions · what breaks

Why Microsoft and your billing system disagree

  1. 01

    Every renewal firing as a conversion

    The single most common subscription error. A customer who stays two years produces twenty-four payment events, and counting them all inflates the conversion count by exactly your retention rate.

  2. 02

    Trial starts counted as paid conversions

    A free trial costs the user nothing. Optimising toward trials reliably finds people who start trials and never pay.

  3. 03

    Cancellations inside the first period never reversed

    Early churn on discounted offers is high, and the reversal is almost never wired.

  4. 04

    Lifetime value assumed rather than measured

    An industry figure for tenure will either starve a channel that works or overfund one that does not. Your own churn data says something different.

Microsoft × Subscriptions · the fix

What you get from this — Microsoft × Subscriptions

  • A number instead of a suspicion

  • The likely cause, narrowed

  • A basis for deciding

Microsoft × Subscriptions · architecture

What each side is actually counting — Microsoft × Subscriptions

  1. 1

    What Microsoft counts

    msclkid inside the import window, a conversion goal name matching one in the account, a timestamp and a value.

  2. 2

    How Microsoft attributes it

    Microsoft's click identifier, appended when auto-tagging is enabled. It depends on the UET tag being present on the site — without UET, msclkid arrives in the URL and there's nothing consuming it, which is a common half-configured state on accounts imported from Google.

  3. 3

    The window it uses

    Check Microsoft's current offline import window and attribution settings directly. They resemble Google's closely enough to be assumed and differ enough to matter.

  4. 4

    What your billing system counts

    First successful payments on new subscriptions, found in Stripe, Chargebee, Recurly, Paddle or whatever charges the card.

  5. 5

    The filter that makes them comparable

    New subscriptions only — exclude renewals, and exclude trials that have not yet converted.

Microsoft × Subscriptions · events

Reading the gap — Microsoft × Subscriptions

15%+ platform higherUsually the wrong event entirely — the platform is counting renewals, trials, or subscriptions that cancelled before the first real charge.
20%+ platform lowerUsually structural — the platform is missing subscriptions it produced — usually a signup-to-payment gap longer than the attribution window.

Microsoft × Subscriptions · diagnose

Diagnostic order — Microsoft × Subscriptions

  1. 01

    Confirm both numbers cover the same period and channel

  2. 02

    Every renewal firing as a conversion

    The single most common subscription error. A customer who stays two years produces twenty-four payment events, and counting them all inflates the conversion count by exactly your retention rate.

  3. 03

    Trial starts counted as paid conversions

    A free trial costs the user nothing. Optimising toward trials reliably finds people who start trials and never pay.

  4. 04

    Cancellations inside the first period never reversed

    Early churn on discounted offers is high, and the reversal is almost never wired.

  5. 05

    Read the upload's match rate and Microsoft's conversion goal diagnostics

    Almost every Microsoft account we open was imported from Google Ads, and the import copies campaign structure without copying the tracking. The result is a live account spending money with UET missing, msclkid unconsumed, or conversion goals pointing at pages that don't exist on the site any more.

Microsoft × Subscriptions · prove

How to know you did it right — Microsoft × Subscriptions

Source of truth

your billing system — new subscriptions for a fully closed month

    Microsoft × Subscriptions · free audit

    What we check in the free audit

    • Confirm both numbers cover the same period and channel
    • Every renewal firing as a conversion
    • Trial starts counted as paid conversions
    • Cancellations inside the first period never reversed
    • Read the upload's match rate and Microsoft's conversion goal diagnostics

    Checked against

    your billing system — new subscriptions for a fully closed month

    Get my free conversion tracking audit

    Free30 minutesNo obligation

    Microsoft × Subscriptions · when not to buy

    When the answer is that you do not need us — Microsoft × Subscriptions

    • If almost all of your new subscriptions come from a channel with no click behind it, no tracking work will reach them — and knowing that is worth more than a build.
    • If your Microsoft account is a straight import you've never separately configured, fix the account structure and UET installation first — offline import on top of an unconfigured account produces data nobody will trust.

    Microsoft × Subscriptions · what we deliver

    The method, step by step — Microsoft × Subscriptions

    • Pull what Microsoft reports

      The upload's match rate and microsoft's conversion goal diagnostics.

    • Pull what your billing system shows

      Export subscriptions by creation date for a closed month, filtered to those that took a first successful payment, and record the plan value.

    • Filter both to the same thing

      New subscriptions only — exclude renewals, and exclude trials that have not yet converted.

    • Compare per record, not on totals

    FAQ

    Microsoft × Subscriptions questions, answered

    Only after checking Microsoft's current column format, and only with msclkid rather than gclid in the identifier column. A file built for Google can upload cleanly and match nothing.

    Free · 30 min

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